sunbone wrote:Like you said, he has all the potential in the world. But there have been a ton of guys with all the potential in the world who never even get up for a cup of coffee. Like any high school player this kid probably really hasn't seen quality breaking stuff or hit in a real game with a wooden bat. I like the pick because of his upside, but realize it is a roll of the dice.
Agreed with all except the wood bat part.
Most elite players in this era have played multiple games with wood bats. Hell, they have wood bat tournaments in Minnesota for kids as young as 12. My team played in one last year and I wanted to sign up for another one this year but a bunch of my players were going to be out of town for a school trip over the weekend
I would guess that since he's been as elite as he is for (I'm assuming) more than a year, he's probably played on a couple all-star teams that play in wood bat tournaments or whatever. It's not as uncommon as it used to be. Add in the fact that he had to use the new BBCOR (-3 weight differential) bats that players have to use in HS and college react much more like wood bats now (to the point that my brother--a college pitcher, said that BBCOR bats were his favorite invention of all time), whereas the difference between the old aluminum and composite bats compared to wood bats is like comparing a crack in the sidewalk to the grand canyon.
A way to think about the BBCOR bat vs the old BESR bats that are now illegal: BBCOR bats are like jumping up and down on the sidewalk. It takes a lot of energy to get off the ground because the ground isn't going to flex at your feet, so you have to provide all the energy. The BESR bats were like jumping on a trampoline. The more energy you put into jumping, the higher than flex in the trampoline, and the higher you launch. Baseballs can compress as much as 1/3rd it's original size when it is hit by a baseball bat. With the BESR bats, it would compress to 1/3rd it's original size and then fly off the bat at ridiculous speeds because of the trampoline effect of the thinner walls and flex of the barrel. What manufacturers did/are doing with BBCOR is thickening the walls of the bat or adding a "block" into the barrel of the bat to minimize the flex of the walls of the bat at contact.