evegoe wrote:a-Rap22 wrote:The win doesn't increase or decrease their chances at a seed, it just makes the possibility seem more realistic to us. Only the results from CONCACAF qualifying itself will impact those chances. I think that's what you were trying to say, but thought I'd clarify. We are currently second in CONCACAF qualifying.
Seeding for the WC is based on the FIFA Rankings. If you get into the top seven, then you don't get put in a group with someone else in the top seven. Which would be nice as then you avoid some pretty good teams. I know Mexico has gotten this advantage a few times. Here they are from June before the tournament.
1 Spain 1761 UEFA
2 Netherlands 1442 UEFA
3 Germany 1378 UEFA
4 Italy 1292 UEFA
5 Brazil 1288 CONMEBOL
6 England 1225 UEFA
7 Argentina 1203 CONMEBOL
8 Croatia 1200 UEFA
9 Russia 1167 UEFA
10 France 1067 UEFA
11 Portugal 1004 UEFA
12 Turkey 964 UEFA
13 Paraguay 961 CONMEBOL
14 United States 947 CONCACAF
The calculation method via wiki: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FIFA_World ... ion_method
Which means the US got a lot of points with their win... 1791 points if my math is right. Not sure if the Confederations Cup game is worth 3 points... as the wiki entry has it as Confederation Cup Finals, which is what I think the technical name is for the games being played.
3 (Win) x 3 (Confederations Cup Game) x 200-1/100 (Opponent's Strength Multiplier) x 1.00 (Regional Strength Multiplier) x 1.00 (Assessment Period Within 12 months) x 100 (Ranking Point Multiplier).
I got 1665: 3 (Win) x 3 (Conf. Cup) x 2 (opp. is #1 team) x (1+0.85)/2 (regional strength) x 1 (assessment period) x 100
Unfortunately, they don't actually gain those points: The ranking is the average of the point values of all of the matches, so the points gain from the game is only 25 points (1665 divided by 66 matches). It's a start!

